Michigan’s 37th Senate District race promises to turn out like one of those movies Mommy didn’t let you watch as a kid.

The poll paints Wayne Schmidt as an undesirable Republican candidate for the 37th district seat.  The poll of 599 likely Republican primary voters who were reached last Monday, February 10, said no to the big spender by more than 20 points, even WITH the MOE. (Margin Of Error of 4.0%) Maybe its something about Schmidt’s willingness to expand government into places where it ought not go?  Maybe its his Welfare expansion vote?  Maybe its his affinity to give Southern Michigan more tax dollars?

But ..wow

Greg MacMaster……………….41.57% (249)
Wayne Schmidt………………..17.36% (104)
Undecided……………………41.07% (246)
Total………………………100.00% (599)

Of course polling is only a snapshot in time, but the advantages of incumbency no longer exist, AND something else revealed itself in the polling done by the MacMaster campaign. One of the largest blocks of voters has Schmidt getting an electoral intent wedgie at about the margin of error.

Grand Traverse County (Schmidt’s home turf) favors MacMaster 34% 29%

Continued below the fold

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The Survey script:

37th District State Senate Robo Poll – February 10, 2014
599 Sample, MOE 4.0% @ 95% Confidence

This is an automated survey of Republican Primary voters. This one-question survey will take approximately one minute to complete.

Current Republican State Senator Howard Walker announced last year that he would not seek reelection. There are two Republican candidates running to replace him.

In August, Republicans will vote in a Primary Election to determine which of these two candidates will be their party’s choice for the November General Election.

I will now read you the names of the two candidates — twice. I will then ask you to use the touch-tone on your phone to select the candidate you prefer THE MOST. If you are undecided, you will have the option to indicate that.

The two Republican candidates are:
Wayne Schmidt
Greg MacMaster

Those candidates, again, in a different order, are:
Greg MacMaster
Wayne Schmidt

If you would like to hear those names again, please press ZERO now. If you’re ready to choose, please wait for prompt, as the names will be read, again, in a different order.

Q1 If your choice is Wayne Schmidt, please press ONE NOW
If your choice is Greg MacMaster, please press TWO NOW
If you’re Undecided, please press THREE NOW.

This concludes our survey. Thank you for your time. Goodbye.

ANTRIM:
MacMaster……………………68.00% (51)
Schmidt………………………9.33% (7)
Undecided……………………22.67% (17)
Total………………………100.00% (75)

CHARLEVOIX:
MacMaster……………………48.48% (32)
Schmidt……………………..18.18% (12)
Undecided……………………33.33% (22)
Total………………………100.00% (66)

CHEBOYGAN:
MacMaster……………………54.10% (33)
Schmidt………………………8.20% (5)
Undecided……………………37.70% (23)
Total………………………100.00% (61)

CHIPPEWA:
MacMaster……………………26.00% (13)
Schmidt………………………4.00% (2)
Undecided……………………70.00% (35)
Total………………………100.00% (50)

EMMET:
MacMaster……………………41.79% (28)
Schmidt……………………..10.45% (7)
Undecided……………………47.76% (32)
Total………………………100.00% (67)

GRAND TRAVERSE:
MacMaster……………………33.88% (82)
Schmidt……………………..28.93% (70)
Undecided……………………37.19% (90)
Total………………………100.00% (242)

LUCE:
MacMaster……………………16.67% (2)
Schmidt………………………8.33% (1)
Undecided……………………75.00% (9)
Total………………………100.00% (12)

MACKINAC:
MacMaster……………………30.77% (8)
Schmidt………………………0.00% (0)
Undecided……………………69.23% (18)
Total………………………100.00% (26)

And this support indication follows the endorsement of over 60 elected officials in the district as well from most major law enforcement officials in the district.

Grab the popcorn, and start yelling “No – Don’t go in there!!!!”