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    Tag: state house (page 2)

    Michigan Redistricting: Alternative State House Map


    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Mon Jul 11, 2011 at 01:58:11 AM EST
    Tags: redistricting, census, state house, Republicans (all tags)

    The legislative portion of Michigan redistricting is finished, assuming Governor Snyder signs the maps passed by the legislature.  I have highly praised the congressional and state senate maps.  The state house map is another story.

    I proposed my own state house map in four parts here:

    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part I: Wayne County
    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part II: Oakland and Genesee
    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part III: Macomb and the Thumb
    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part IV: The Rest of the State

    The Republican state house map was quite a bit different.  Part of this was due to the desire to protect existing districts.  This led to districts being distributed differently in the Thumb, south-central Michigan, and the northeastern Lower Peninsula.

    Even on these terms, though, some parts of the map still perplex me.  I decided to take another crack at the state house map.  This time, I started with the Republican map and made changes in particular areas.  Since my first map, Dave's Redistricting App has added some election data for Michigan, allowing for more precise analysis.

    I. Wayne County

    I don't know what Republicans were thinking in Wayne County.  Currently Wayne has three Republicans.  Two are strengthened under the new map.  There is one more district containing the majority of Canton and Van Buren that is winnable.

    (5 comments, 1612 words in story) Full Story

    Michigan Redistricting: Official Republican State House Map Released


    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 12:46:36 AM EST
    Tags: redistricting, census, state house, Republicans (all tags)

    Michigan Republicans released their official proposal for the state house of representatives district map on Friday.

    Wayne Co., Detroit lose clout under GOP plans
    Redrawn plan to have ripple effect


    (1 comment, 1874 words in story) Full Story

    A Message To Our Legislators - Beware False Choices

    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part IV: The Rest of the State


    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Sun May 08, 2011 at 04:04:32 PM EST
    Tags: redistricting, state house, census (all tags)

    Cross-posted at The Western Right

    The three parts of my analysis of redistricting the Michigan state house focused on southeastern Michigan. This final part finishes the rest of the state.
    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part I: Wayne County
    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part II: Oakland and Genesee
    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part III: Macomb and the Thumb

    See the current map here: MICHIGAN'S 110 HOUSE DISTRICTS

    Let's look at the map first and then see where it came from.

    .

    (5 comments, 1735 words in story) Full Story

    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part III: Macomb and the Thumb


    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Wed May 04, 2011 at 03:52:36 PM EST
    Tags: redistricting, census, state house, Macomb, St. Clair (all tags)

    The first and second parts of my analysis of redistricting the Michigan state house focused on Wayne County and Oakland/Genesee Counties. The first article contains the basics on the rules that any map must follow.

    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part I: Wayne County
    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part II: Oakland and Genesee

    In part III, we consider Macomb County. We have seen that districts in Wayne County can be drawn to avoid a break, and Lapeer County can constitute its own district. Since I grouped Oakland and Genesee together, either Macomb must be unbroken, or it must share districts with counties in the Thumb, particularly St. Clair.

    Currently Macomb has about 8.8 districts. It saw the largest numerical increase of any county in the state, gaining 52829 residents (ideally about .6 districts). Its ideal number of districts is now 9.36.

    These new residents were not evenly distributed. Population gains were biggest in the `middle tier' townships. Macomb Township gained an incredible 29000 people, Shelby gained 8600, and Chesterfield 6000. Also, Sterling Heights gained 5000 and Washington gained 6000. North Macomb had stable population. South Macomb saw small losses, with Warren losing 4000, St. Clair Shores 3000, Eastpointe 2000. These losses occurred at the same time that south Macomb saw an influx of former Detroit residents moving to the suburbs.
    .

    (734 words in story) Full Story

    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part II: Oakland and Genesee


    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Tue Apr 19, 2011 at 04:13:14 AM EST
    Tags: redistricting, census, state house, Oakland, Genesee (all tags)

    Cross-posted at The Western Right.

    The first part of my analysis of redistricting the Michigan state house focused on Wayne County. That article contains the basics on the rules that any map must follow.

    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part I: Wayne County

    In particular, a good map avoids county breaks when possible. We have seen that districts in Wayne County can be drawn to avoid a break. This is also true for Washtenaw, Livingston, Ingham, and Lapeer Counties.

    Part II begins by considering Oakland County. It is technically possible to avoid breaking Oakland, but only by significantly overpopulating its districts, which would lead to more city/township breaks, which must also be avoided.

    .

    (1 comment, 807 words in story) Full Story

    Michigan Redistricting: State House Part I: Wayne County


    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Fri Apr 15, 2011 at 01:38:40 AM EST
    Tags: redistricting, state house, census, Wayne County, Detroit (all tags)

    Cross-posted at The Western Right.

    Along with congressional and state senate maps, the state legislature will also redistrict the state house of representatives. The current state house map was drawn by Republicans, but has hardly any partisan slant at all. Its architects thought it would elect a large Republican majority, but control shifted to democrats in 2006 and 2008 before returning to Republicans in 2010.

    Michigan Congressional Redistricting: Two Possible Maps
    Michigan Redistricting: Two Possible State Senate Maps

    See the current state house map here: MICHIGAN'S 110 HOUSE DISTRICTS

    State house control is more likely to vary since representatives are limited to three two-year terms and elections are held in both presidential and off-years, unlike the state senate.

    Many of the rules for legislative district maps are the same as for congressional district maps. In particular, the Apol standards require that there be a small number of county and city/township breaks. These standards cannot legally bind future redistricting plans (LaRoux v. Secretary of State), but it is likely that any plan passed will at least come close to following them.

    One major difference between the congressional and legislative standards is that populations for legislative districts are not required to be exact. They must be within 5% of the ideal population. For the Michigan House of Representatives, the ideal population is 9983640/110=89851. The lower and upper thresholds are thus 85359 and 94343.

    This makes it easier to avoid breaks. Many counties do not need to be broken at all. The first part of my analysis of the state house redistricting will focus on Wayne County. Wayne's ideal number of districts is 20.26, so the ideal population for a district is 91029.

    .

    (1 comment, 818 words in story) Full Story

    Endorsement for 105th District State House Seat


    By JGillman, Section News
    Posted on Thu Apr 01, 2010 at 07:08:29 PM EST
    Tags: Michigan, 105th district, State house, Greg MacMaster, Endorsement (all tags)

    We are in the midst of a series of crisis that calls for absolute understanding in the primary cycle where the conservatives and moderates stand.  Never have we had to consider absolutes in such a way that a yes or no question was imperative as today.  

    YES or NO..  Taking a stand and committing to principle, instead of some wishy washy nuanced approach that is designed to maximize votes and not hurt any feelings.  True conservative principle that has no room for an intrusive government. Our leaders need to be transparent in their core convictions, the part of them which drives their actions on our behalf.

    They also need to be upstanding.

    (2 comments, 478 words in story) Full Story

    Michigan Republicans must look towards the future to win


    By dennislennox, Section News
    Posted on Wed Apr 22, 2009 at 12:06:21 PM EST
    Tags: dennis lennox, republicans, state house, 2010 (all tags)

    (Promoted by Nick...)

    With Republicans in the political wilderness  struggling to find a roadmap to electoral success in 2010, party leaders should focus on recruiting candidates that can win in a vastly different political landscape.

    The 2010 elections must be our first priority, but 2012 should be in the back of our heads because congressional, legislative and county commissioner constituencies will be redrawn based on the upcoming census.

    So while a candidate may be capable of easily winning a 60-percent Republican seat in 2010, the would-be politician may struggle to win a competitive, 50-50 race two years later -- particularly if Democrats are the ones drawing the map.

    This is especially important when you consider the State House's Republican minority.

    Read on...

    (37 comments, 639 words in story) Full Story

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