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    Who are the NERD fund donors Mr Snyder?

    Raise the curtain.

    2012 Michigan State House Races

    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Sat Jun 02, 2012 at 11:50:23 PM EST
    Tags: state house, redistricting (all tags)

    Cross-posted at The Western Right, Right Michigan, and  Red Racing Horses.

    All 110 seats in the Michigan House of Representatives will be up for election in November.  Republicans currently hold a 63-47 majority, following a 67-43 democrat majority before 2010.  There are "only" 22 open seats following many members being term-limited, defeated, or seeking other office in 2010.

    Republicans will gain several seats due to redistricting, though not as many as they could have.  Republican Michigander has written a good profile of the races along with presidential election data, racial breakdowns, and brief commentary.  The Secretary of State website has a complete list of candidates, along with links to some, but not all candidate websites.

    Michigan State House - all districts
    2012 Unofficial Michigan Primary Candidate Listing

    Republican Michigander tends to be more pessimistic than I am in ratings (not just for these districts, but in general), so I am providing my own ratings.  I am confident about the districts in my area (Kalamazoo) but many of the others are educated guesses.

    The following lists district number, current incumbent, political rating, and geographic description.

    1. -10.  Safe D [Detroit]
    2. (Open) Safe D [Inkster, Garden City]
    3. (Douglas Geiss) Safe D [Taylor, Romulus]
    4. (Andrew Kandrevas) Safe D [Southgate, Allen Park, Dearborn Heights]
    5. (Paul Clemente) Safe D [Riverview, Wyandotte, Lincoln Park, Melvindale]
    6. (George Darany) Safe D [Dearborn]
    7. (Open) Safe D [Westland, Wayne]
    8. (Open) Lean D [N Monroe, Sumpter, Huron]
    9. (Open) Safe D [St. Clair Shores, Eastpointe]
    10. (John Walsh) Safe R [Livonia]
    11. (Kurt Heise) Safe R [Plymouth, Northville]
    12. (Dian Slavens) Lean D [Canton, Van Buren]
    13. (Harold Haugh) Safe D [Roseville, E Warren]
    14. (Pat Somerville) Tossup [SE Wayne]
    15. (Anthony Forlini) Safe R [Harrison, N Clinton, SW Macomb]
    16. (Open) Tossup [E Sterling Heights, NC Warren]
    17. (Jim Townsend) Safe D [Royal Oak, Madison Heights]
    18. (Ellen Cogen Lipton) Safe D [Oak Park, Ferndale, Hazel Park]
    19. (Jon Switalski and Lesia Liss) Safe D [W Warren, Center Line]
    20. (Tim Greimel) Safe D [Pontiac, Auburn Hills, Orchard Lake]
    21. (Jeff Farrington) Safe R [W Sterling Heights, Utica, SE Shelby]
    22. (Marilyn Lane) Safe D [S Clinton, Fraser, Mt. Clemens]
    23. (Andrea LaFontaine) Lean R [Chesterfield, C St. Clair]
    24. (Ken Goike) Safe R [NE Macomb, Macomb Twp.]
    25. (Woodrow Stanley) Safe D [Flint]
    26. (Rudy Hobbs) Safe D [Southfield]
    27. (Pete Lund) Safe R [Shelby, Washington, Bruce]
    28. (Vicki Barnett) Safe D [Farmington]
    29. (Hugh Crawford) Safe R [Novi, Lyon]
    30. (Open) Lean R [W West Bloomfield, Commerce, Wixom]
    31. (Open) Safe R [Bloomfield, Birmingham, E West Bloomfield]
    32. (Open) Safe R [Troy, Clawson]
    33. (Bill Rogers) Safe R [SE Livingston]
    34. (Gail Haines) Safe R [Waterford, Independence]
    35. (Eileen Kowall) Safe R [Springfield, White Lake, Highland, Milford]
    36. (Tom McMillin) Safe R [Rochester, S Oakland Twp]
    37. (Bradford Jacobsen) Safe R [NE Oakland]
    38. (Cindy Denby) Safe R [N Livingston]
    39. (Open) Safe D [NE Genesee]
    40. (Jim Ananich) Safe D [Flint Twp., Mt. Morris, SW Flint]
    41. (Charles Smiley) Safe D [Burton, Grand Blanc, Mundy]
    42. (Joe Graves) Safe R [W Genesee, Fenton, NW Oakland]
    43. (Mark Ouimet) Lean R [W Washtenaw]
    44. (Jeff Irwin) Safe D [Ann Arbor]
    45. (David Rutledge) Safe D [Ypsilanti]
    46. (Open) Safe D [Pittsfield, NE Ann Arbor, York, Augusta]
    47. (Dale Zorn) Lean R [S Monroe]
    48. (Nancy Jenkins) Lean R [Lenawee]
    49. (Ken Kurtz) Safe R [Branch, Hillsdale]
    50. (Matt Lori) Safe R [St. Joseph, E Cass]
    51. (Sean McCann) Safe D [Kalamazoo, Kalamazoo Twp.]
    52. (Margaret O'Brien) Safe R [Portage, Oshtemo, Texas, Schoolcraft, Prairie Ronde]
    53. (Kate Segal) Lean D [Battle Creek, Albion, N Calhoun]
    54. (Jase Bolger) Safe R [E Kalamazoo, S Calhoun]
    55. (Earl Poleski) Tossup [Jackson city, W Jackson]
    56. (Mike Shirkey) Lean R [N Jackson, SE Eaton]
    57. (Aric Nesbitt) Safe R [Van Buren, Cooper, Alamo, Parchment]
    58. (Open) Tossup [S Ingham]
    59. (Open) Safe D [Lansing]
    60. (Open) Safe D [East Lansing, Meridian]
    61. (Rick Outman) Lean R [Montcalm, N Gratiot]
    62. (Deb Shaughnessy) Lean R [Eaton]
    63. (Ken Yonker) Safe R [Kentwood, Gaines, NE Allegan]
    64. (Peter MacGregor) Safe R [Grand Rapids Twp, Plainfield, NE Kent]
    65. (Open) Safe R [Grandville, Walker, Alpine, NW Kent]
    66. (Brandon Dillon) Safe D [central Grand Rapids]
    67. (Roy Schmidt) Tossup [peripheral Grand Rapids]
    68. (Thomas Hooker) Safe R [Wyoming, Byron]
    69. (Open) Safe R [S Berrien, SW Cass]
    70. (Al Pscholka) Safe R [N Berrien]
    71. (Bob Genetski) Safe R [Allegan]
    72. (Open) Safe R [NW, E St. Clair]
    73. (Kevin Daley) Safe R [Lapeer]
    74. (Paul Muxlow) Lean R [Sanilac, Port Huron]
    75. (Kurt Damrow) Tossup [Tuscola, Huron]
    76. (Ben Glardon) Lean R [Shiawassee, W Saginaw]
    77. (Lisa Posthumus Lyons) Safe R [SE Kent, N Ionia]
    78. (Mike Callton) Safe R [Barry, S Ionia]
    79. (Open) Safe R [NE Ottawa]
    80. (Amanda Price) Safe R [W Ottawa]
    81. (Joseph Haveman) Safe R [Holland]
    82. (Holly Hughes) Lean R [S, W Muskegon]
    83. (Marcia Hovey Wright) Safe D [Muskegon city]
    84. (Open) Safe R [S Gratiot, Clinton]
    85. (Open) Safe R [Saginaw Twp, E Saginaw]
    86. (Stacy Erwin Oakes) Safe D [Saginaw city]
    87. (Charles Brunner) Safe D [Bay]
    88. (Joel Johnson) Lean R [Arenac, Gladwin, Clare, E Osceola]
    89. (Jim Stamas) Safe R [C Midland, N Bay]
    90. (Kevin Cotter) Lean R [Isabella, W Midland]
    91. (Jon Bumstead) Safe R [Newaygo, Oceana, Lake]
    92. (Ray Franz) Lean R [Leelanau, Benzie, Manistee, Mason]
    93. (Phil Potvin) Safe R [Wexford, W Osceola, Mecosta]
    94. (Bruce Rendon) Safe R [Kalkaska, Crawford, Missaukee, Roscommon, Ogemaw]
    95. (Wayne Schmidt) Safe R [Grand Traverse]
    96. (Greg MacMaster) Safe R [Antrim, Charlevoix, Otsego, Montmorency, Oscoda]
    97. (Peter Petallia) Tossup [E Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Alpena, Alcona, Iosco]
    98. (Frank Foster) Lean R [Emmet, Mackinac, Chippewa, N Cheboygan]
    99. (Ed McBroom) Lean R [Delta, Menominee, Dickinson]
    100. (Open) Safe D [Marquette, Alger, Schoolcraft, Luce]
    101. (Matt Huuki) Tossup [W Upper Peninsula]

    Safe D: 40
    Lean D: 3
    Tossup: 8
    Lean R: 16
    Safe R: 43

    Most races will not be competitive, but a few deserve attention.

    1. White and black incumbent democrats Tim Bledsoe and Alberta Tinsley Talabi will battle for this black-majority seat.
    2. Eleven democrats are running.
    3. Former democrat rep. Sarah Roberts is seeking a comeback here.
    4. Former Macomb county commissioner Carey Torrice  is seeking the democrat nomination against Republican Anthony Forlini.
    5. Jon Switalski and Lesia Liss are two democrat incumbents fighting for the same district.
    6. Democrat Lisa Brown is running for Oakland County Clerk rather than seek reelection in this now more Republican district.  A prime pick-up opportunity.
    7. Staunch conservative Deb Debacker  is one of three Republicans seeking this seat.
    8. Republican Joe Graves is running for reelection after winning the seat of recalled Republican Paul Scott.
    9. Republican Rick Olsen retired rather than run in this now solidly democrat district.
    10. Republican Nancy Jenkins is running for reelection after democrats failed to get a recall on the ballot.  Her opponents are former state senator Jim Berryman, and 2010 opponent Harvey Schmidt.
    11. Democrat Kate Segal got a more democrat district, but faces a strong challenger in former Battle Creek Mayor Mark Behnke.
    12. Republican Jeff Osterle came close to winning this district in 2010, and it is slightly more Republican now.
    13. Republican Rick Outman will defend against democrat former rep. Mike Huckleberry, who he defeated in 2010.
    14. Party-switching rep. Roy Schmidt is running for reelection as a Republican.  For now, he is unopposed, but democrats are expected to run a write-in candidate against him in this swing district.
    15. Republican Kurt Damrow has had ethics issues.  He faces a rematch with former rep. Terry Brown, whom he narrowly beat in 2010, if both of them win their primaries.
    16. Staunch conservative Tom Leonard  is one of four Republicans vying to replace term-limited rep. Paul Opsommer.
    17. Tea Party leader and Grand Traverse county commissioner Jason Gillman  is running in the primary against Republican rep. Wayne Schmidt.
    < McCotter Ends Write-In Campaign | Sundays Divertere: They Come To America >

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    Fair assessment of 106 (none / 0) (#1)
    by Corinthian Scales on Sun Jun 03, 2012 at 11:43:05 PM EST
    It's a toss-up.  Pettalia only seems to be preoccupied about gottdamn things like deer hunting anymore, and has totally balked on the idea of RTW when I talk with him.  That, and the fact that Gov Snydholm hid his agenda to raid the pensions of those that took early retirement buyouts in the mid 2000's from the Big Three isn't helping Pete out one iota either.

    I have NEVER seen so many For Sale signs in folks front yards in my parts than this year.

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