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Breaking - Santorum Leads Michigan!

By JGillman, Section News
Posted on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 01:11:05 PM EST
Tags: Michigan, President, Primary, Feb 28, Santorum, Romney, Gingrich (all tags)

Things have a way of developing fast in the conservative driven Republican Presidential Primary.

Once considered a long shot, Rick Santorum has taken a 33 to 27% lead over Mitt Romney the presumed front runner in his home state. From USA today:

An American Research Group poll shows Santorum, a former Pennsylvania senator, leading Romney 33% to 27% among likely GOP voters. Santorum's lead over Romney is 15 percentage points in a Michigan survey by Public Policy Polling.
The Michigan primary is Feb. 28

Not surprising at all.

As expected, the collapse of Newt's surge will coincide well with the realization by many that Romneycare IS Obamacare. Romney for his part never breaking loose from the 25-30% base of centrists who would prefer the candidate with the right amount of money, over candidates with the right ideas.

Still developing.

< Words Have Meaning | Urgent Action Alert: House Republicans Wavering on Critical School Choice Legislation? >

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Breaking - Santorum Leads Michigan! | 17 comments (17 topical, 0 hidden)

ARG vs. PPP (none / 0) (#1)
by InksLWC on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 03:14:50 PM EST

ARG is a terrible polling company. PPP has been pretty good at polling this cycle (with the exception of the smaller caucus states, but those are hard to predict period). I suspect Santorum's lead among voters is probably closer to PPP's number (although it seems a bit high), but it'll probably close up to a tight race by the time we get to the 28th.

I'm willing to go with PPP numbers by JGillman, 02/13/2012 03:32:38 PM EST (none / 0)
Some details from that PPP poll by Pogo, 02/14/2012 08:19:10 AM EST (none / 0)

I had supported a caucus by JGillman, 02/14/2012 08:47:37 AM EST (none / 0)

I'd go with (none / 0) (#3)
by Bruce on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 06:03:11 PM EST

Rasmussen every time. However, their poll is almost 2 weeks old, so it will have to be updated... probably in a week or so.

PPP's been the most consistent by InksLWC, 02/14/2012 02:23:57 AM EST (none / 0)
Welcome Home Mitt by dnlchisholm, 02/14/2012 04:28:42 PM EST (none / 0)

a janitor .. 48168 by Corinthian Scales, 02/14/2012 05:51:06 PM EST (none / 0)
Further ad nauseum... by Corinthian Scales, 02/14/2012 06:01:35 PM EST (none / 0)

Santorum up 3 in Rasmussen by Republican Michigander, 02/15/2012 12:26:54 AM EST (none / 0)

I would call that margin of error by JGillman, 02/15/2012 06:40:47 AM EST (none / 0)

This is true by Corinthian Scales, 02/15/2012 08:19:49 AM EST (1.00 / 1)

On that poll by JGillman, 02/15/2012 08:34:38 AM EST (none / 0)

Perhaps, ... by Corinthian Scales, 02/15/2012 10:49:37 AM EST (1.00 / 1)

LOL by JGillman, 02/15/2012 11:11:58 AM EST (none / 0)

Santorum up 9 in Mitchell Poll (none / 0) (#15)
by Republican Michigander on Wed Feb 15, 2012 at 11:05:54 AM EST

That's four polls now. PPP, ARG, Rasmussen, Mitchell.

Santorum 34
Romney 25
Paul 11
Gingrich 5

The question is whether it holds up the next two weeks.

The Mesa Arts Center Debate . . . by Kevin Rex Heine, 02/15/2012 11:45:11 AM EST (none / 0)

Breaking - Santorum Leads Michigan! | 17 comments (17 topical, 0 hidden)

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Breaking - Santorum Leads Michigan!

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