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BENTIVOLIO LEADS TROTT BY 19% IN CD11 GOP PRIMARYBy JGillman, Section News
Congressman Kerry Bentivolio (R-11) leads Farmington Hills attorney and foreclosure king David Trott 59.55% to 40.45%, according to polling released today.
The poll was a collaborative effort between Murray Communications, a Michigan-based Republican political consulting firm; Portable Insights, a Rhode Island-based opinion research company; and Combat Data Inc., a Michigan-based political data and voter outreach services company. Bentivolio, a Republican from Milford, was elected to Congress last year after then-Rep. Thaddeus McCotter was disqualified from the primary ballot after failing to turn in the required minimum number of valid petition signatures. Trott announced his primary challenge last week.
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The 19% margin could fluctuate between now and the August 5 election depending on how well messaging is done, and money spent on the race. According to the polling firms participating, Trott has started out well. Combat data's Brian Bellgowan notes
"It's surprising to see Trott start so well since he has not really started to campaign. Nothing catches a 19% deficit faster than resources and time, both of which Trott has."But Christopher Mark of Portable Insights gives a cautionary, though positive perspective for Bentivolio "Bentivolio can hold this seat. Republican primary voters seem to be willing to give him a chance. But, if he doesn't raise enough money to be competitive with Trott, I suspect this 19% margin will begin to evaporate," The automated survey of 717 likely 11th District Republican primary voters was conducted on Tuesday, September 10 and has a margin of error of 3.66%. Full results follow:
ALL RESPONSES.............100.00% (717)
MEN ONLY...................47.98% (344)
WOMEN ONLY.................52.02% (373)
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