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    Who are the NERD fund donors Mr Snyder?

    Raise the curtain.

    Thinking This Through

    By Kevin Rex Heine, Section News
    Posted on Thu May 10, 2012 at 01:09:38 PM EST
    Tags: Republican National Committee, Michigan Republican State Convention, Presidential Primary, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Michigan's Republican National Committeeman, Saul Anuzis, Dave Agema, G. J. LaRouche, Michigan's Republican National Committeewoman, Holly Hughes, Terri Lynn Land, Michigan Banana Republican Party, disingenuous hypocrisy, backroom shenanigans, MIGOP Credentials Committee, "DELE-GATE" (all tags)

    So, since this thing that I broke the story on two days ago has managed to make it to the national news media, I took the time to sit down over my evening coffee last night and channeled my high school debate coach (the late Bayard Gum), specifically a few things he taught me about how to reach a logically-solid conclusion.

    It helps, when doing something like this, to understand the difference between fact and opinion, as well as between supposition, inference, and conclusion.  In particular, a fact is something that can be objectively observed to be so (either something that actually exists or that has actually occurred), or can be independently verified to be so (such as by referring to publicly-available published documentation).  In other words, start by identifying what we know to be so.  This is especially necessary when leveling accusations of inappropriate conduct in a political campaign, otherwise all we have to go on is a person's strength of personality and who can construct the least-odious vessel of manure.

    So, with regard to the live polling done around the supper hour back on Tuesday, let's first figure out what facts we have to work with before drawing any conclusions, shall we?

    • According to the caller, Tuesday's live survey was paid for by the Republican National Committee (something that the RNC, by the way, has denied on the record).

    • According to the caller, these calls were made from a national calling center in Nevada.

    • However, the source phone number (which showed up on caller ID for the callees) is from a South-Central Michigan area code.  This has been verified by every single one of the recipients that I've heard from with regard to this call.

    • That source phone number (please refer to the picture above) is otherwise listed as the business line for Coast to Coast Strategies, LLC.  However, according to his FaceBook page, this is the home phone number for one Saulius "Saul" Anuzis.  Given that Saul Anuzis is listed as the managing partner of C2C, there may be some legitimate overlap there.

    • Speaking of call recipients, I spent a good chunk of yesterday morning in conversation with several political contacts throughout the state about the survey.  Based on those conversations, the survey went out to each one of Michigan's 14 congressional districts (though to what extent I haven't been able to verify).

    • According to An Important Message from Prudy Adam (so important that Saul saw fit to post it on his website), the Michigan Republican Party isn't supposed to be releasing the convention delegation lists (the county-by-county reporting forms) until after the MIGOP Credentials Committee meets today to certify the lists.  In other words, unless county party committees chose to release their individual reporting forms to the convention candidates, the "master delegation list" is officially under wraps until the MIGOP credentials committee votes to certify the list and releases it to the several campaigns.

    • I have spoken with Dave Agema's campaign team, and they have shown me that they do not have the master delegation list, though perhaps two dozen county party chairs have voluntarily offered up their county reporting forms.  (However, they do not have even one county reporting form in at least one congressional district.)

    • I have verified with several northern Michigan tea party leaders, a few northern Michigan county party chairs, and at least one member of the 1st District Executive Committee that the 1st District Chairman, Jeff Lamb, specifically and directly instructed the 32 county party chairs in his district to not turn over their county reporting forms to any campaign (though apparently nine of those chairs either didn't get the memo or chose to ignore it).  After the live survey was conducted, he was actually calling through to the county chairs and asking how Saul managed to get hold of their reporting forms.

    • Going back to that aforementioned credentials committee, we should note that this is the same credentials committee that was responsible for the Michigan Dele-Gate Fiasco, the same committee on which Saul Anuzis and Holly Hughes still sit, and from which (so far as I am aware) they have not recused themselves.

    • According to several state convention delegates (as well as tea party leaders) that I have spoken with, the callers were using contact information that would not have been available to the RNC other than through the May 2012 county delegation reporting forms.

    I think that covers it as far as "facts in evidence" goes.  (If I've missed something relevant, then by all means say so.)  And so, applying Occam's Razor, let's see what reasonable conclusions we can draw from these facts.

    The only entity currently in legitimate possession of the "master delegation list" is the Michigan Republican Party.  That means that anyone else in possession of that list must have obtained it from the MIGOP, likely through internal channels.  This also applies to as-yet-unconfirmed reports I've received that the Mitt Romney campaign team in Michigan already has a complete copy of that list, and is using it to identify "troublemakers" (read: "known Ron Paul supporters") whom they will seek to disqualify from being credentialed at both the District Caucus and State Convention.  We've already seen that the rules as published don't seem to matter to the pro-Romney cabal within the MIGOP, so I wouldn't expect those disqualification attempts to necessarily be aboveboard.

    If indeed the RNC has not authorized a live survey of the Michigan convention delegation, then what we seem to have here is either a case of fraud being perpetrated in the name of the RNC (which we have seen happen before), or at a bare minimum a blatant abuse of party resources.  Neither of which would be considered characteristic of someone who honorably holds the office of Michigan's Republican National Committeeman.

    Given that Ron Paul supporters are known to be, in large part, also Dave Agema supporters (or are at the very least anti-Anuzis), it would then seem that both the Anuzis and the Romney campaigns have a great deal of common benefit to be gained by deliberately disenfranchising as many REP supporters as they can get away with.  Apparently, this also includes using "inside information" (reporting forms that they're not supposed to have access to) to give themselves at least a four-day head start on their opponents.

    I think that the most likely explanation covering all of the facts in evidence is that the live survey from two days ago was a botched recon operation on behalf of either Mitt Romney or Saul Anuzis (and most probably both).  I think that the recon team was using information that they weren't supposed to have just yet, with less-than-champion purposes in mind.

    < Obama's Stunning Victory! | It Has To Be Detroit... >

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    Gasp! High & mighty GOP potentates... (none / 0) (#1)
    by KG One on Thu May 10, 2012 at 08:22:00 PM EST
    ...playing fast and loose with party resources?

    Like, that would happen...ever.

    I have received 3 calls Tues, Weds, Thurs. (none / 0) (#3)
    by JenKuznicki on Fri May 11, 2012 at 07:45:50 AM EST
    During the supper hour, which is also during Mark Levin's show, so I don't always answer cuz I'm busy.

    But all three nights, a call from "Saulius" Saul Anuzis, as listed a contact in my phone from his facebook page.

    Let's see if I get another one now, tonight.

    I'm hearing now . . . (none / 0) (#4)
    by Kevin Rex Heine on Fri May 11, 2012 at 08:06:59 AM EST
    . . . that an RNC legal team will be in attendance at our state convention (and likely also our district caucuses), think North Dakota.  Word is that the establishment blueblood elite is going to be attempting to ram through a pro-Romney slate in each district (including those districts that are now officially uncommitted).  The Agema and Paul campaigns are being advised to have a minimum of one parliamentarian on hand per congressional district.

    $10,000,000.00 (none / 0) (#8)
    by Corinthian Scales on Fri May 11, 2012 at 08:16:01 PM EST
    That was the price tag for all us Michigan taxpayers who were sold a bogus "Closed Primary" and get to watch Party Officials rig elections.

    The Republican vs Democrat paradigm is truly dead.  Those who are current Party Officials are virtually the same incrementalists working a varying way towards implementing a Mother Government utopia.

    Turning distinctly chilly (none / 0) (#9)
    by Pogo on Sat May 12, 2012 at 04:22:47 AM EST
         I just read an e-mail from the "Deputy Political Director, Michigan Republican Party", about the upcoming convention. Excerpt:

         "Credentials are a revocable license.  Admission may be refused or credential holder ejected at the sole discretion of MRP.  MRP may refuse admission to, or eject, any credential holder without consideration who is deemed to be disorderly, or who fails to comply with these terms or any and all security measures.  You and your belongings may be searched upon entry into the venue.  If you consent to such searches, you waive any related claims that you might have against MRP.  If you elect not to consent to the searches, you will be denied entry into the venue. "

         I never saw anything like this from the last two conventions. Kind of makes me think some people would like to have a very exclusive event.

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