So, with regard to the live polling done around the supper hour back on Tuesday, let's first figure out what facts we have to work with before drawing any conclusions, shall we?

• According to the caller, Tuesday's live survey was paid for by the Republican National Committee (something that the RNC, by the way, has denied on the record).

• According to the caller, these calls were made from a national calling center in Nevada.

• However, the source phone number (which showed up on caller ID for the callees) is from a South-Central Michigan area code.  This has been verified by every single one of the recipients that I've heard from with regard to this call.

• That source phone number (please refer to the picture above) is otherwise listed as the business line for Coast to Coast Strategies, LLC.  However, according to his FaceBook page, this is the home phone number for one Saulius "Saul" Anuzis.  Given that Saul Anuzis is listed as the managing partner of C2C, there may be some legitimate overlap there.

• Speaking of call recipients, I spent a good chunk of yesterday morning in conversation with several political contacts throughout the state about the survey.  Based on those conversations, the survey went out to each one of Michigan's 14 congressional districts (though to what extent I haven't been able to verify).

• According to An Important Message from Prudy Adam (so important that Saul saw fit to post it on his website), the Michigan Republican Party isn't supposed to be releasing the convention delegation lists (the county-by-county reporting forms) until after the MIGOP Credentials Committee meets today to certify the lists.  In other words, unless county party committees chose to release their individual reporting forms to the convention candidates, the "master delegation list" is officially under wraps until the MIGOP credentials committee votes to certify the list and releases it to the several campaigns.

• I have spoken with Dave Agema's campaign team, and they have shown me that they do not have the master delegation list, though perhaps two dozen county party chairs have voluntarily offered up their county reporting forms.  (However, they do not have even one county reporting form in at least one congressional district.)

• I have verified with several northern Michigan tea party leaders, a few northern Michigan county party chairs, and at least one member of the 1st District Executive Committee that the 1st District Chairman, Jeff Lamb, specifically and directly instructed the 32 county party chairs in his district to not turn over their county reporting forms to any campaign (though apparently nine of those chairs either didn't get the memo or chose to ignore it).  After the live survey was conducted, he was actually calling through to the county chairs and asking how Saul managed to get hold of their reporting forms.

• Going back to that aforementioned credentials committee, we should note that this is the same credentials committee that was responsible for the Michigan Dele-Gate Fiasco, the same committee on which Saul Anuzis and Holly Hughes still sit, and from which (so far as I am aware) they have not recused themselves.

• According to several state convention delegates (as well as tea party leaders) that I have spoken with, the callers were using contact information that would not have been available to the RNC other than through the May 2012 county delegation reporting forms.

The only entity currently in legitimate possession of the "master delegation list" is the Michigan Republican Party.  That means that anyone else in possession of that list must have obtained it from the MIGOP, likely through internal channels.  This also applies to as-yet-unconfirmed reports I've received that the Mitt Romney campaign team in Michigan already has a complete copy of that list, and is using it to identify "troublemakers" (read: "known Ron Paul supporters") whom they will seek to disqualify from being credentialed at both the District Caucus and State Convention.  We've already seen that the rules as published don't seem to matter to the pro-Romney cabal within the MIGOP, so I wouldn't expect those disqualification attempts to necessarily be aboveboard.

If indeed the RNC has not authorized a live survey of the Michigan convention delegation, then what we seem to have here is either a case of fraud being perpetrated in the name of the RNC (which we have seen happen before), or at a bare minimum a blatant abuse of party resources.  Neither of which would be considered characteristic of someone who honorably holds the office of Michigan's Republican National Committeeman.

Given that Ron Paul supporters are known to be, in large part, also Dave Agema supporters (or are at the very least anti-Anuzis), it would then seem that both the Anuzis and the Romney campaigns have a great deal of common benefit to be gained by deliberately disenfranchising as many REP supporters as they can get away with.  Apparently, this also includes using "inside information" (reporting forms that they're not supposed to have access to) to give themselves at least a four-day head start on their opponents.

I think that the most likely explanation covering all of the facts in evidence is that the live survey from two days ago was a botched recon operation on behalf of either Mitt Romney or Saul Anuzis (and most probably both).  I think that the recon team was using information that they weren't supposed to have just yet, with less-than-champion purposes in mind.