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    Who are the NERD fund donors Mr Snyder?

    Raise the curtain.

    Census Shocker


    By Conservative First, Section News
    Posted on Tue Mar 22, 2011 at 02:32:48 PM EST
    Tags: census, Detroit, Wayne County, redistricting (all tags)

    Preliminary census numbers for Michigan are coming out today.

    Census shocker: Detroit's population falls to 713,000
    Interactive map: 2010 Census information, by state

    Michigan's population was earlier announced to be 9883640, down .6% from 2000.

    This means that the ideal district sizes are
    Congress: 658,909
    State senate: 260,096
    State house: 89,851

    The new number coming out...
    Detroit: 713,777, down 25.3% from 952047.

    -- Oakland County saw its population grow from 1,194,196 to 1,202,362. [up .6%]
    -- Wayne County's dropped from 2,061,162 to 1,820,584. [down 11.7%]
    -- Macomb County's population grew from 788,149 to 840,978. [up 6.7%]
    -- Livingston County's population grew from 156,951 to 180,967. [up 15.3%]

    The size of Detroit's population loss is shocking and deserves more detailed analysis later.

    Implications. Detroit has fallen so much that it may be hard to draw two black-majority congressional districts, even if they extend outside Wayne County. I don't think there is precedent for losing a black-majority congressional district.

    Wayne County will lose a full state senate district, dropping from 8 t0 7. That loss will be almost entirely in Detroit. Drawing five black-majority districts will be impossible, and even four may be tricky. That district will move somewhere else in the state, and the map will have to be considerably reshuffled to accommodate it.

    Wayne County will lose three state house districts, at least two coming from Detroit. It will drop from 23 to 20. Three districts will move elsewhere in the state. One will probably end up in Macomb County, one in the Livingston/Washtenaw area, and one in the Kent/Ottowa area. At least two of these should be gains for Republicans.

    Genessee County: down to 425790 from 436141. It will have fewer than the current five state house districts since it falls below the minimum threshold. Flint likely accounts for most of this loss.

    Kalamazoo County: up to 250331 from 238603. Kalamazoo County will likely be its own state senate district, now that it is above the minimum threshold. This could be trouble for state senator Tonya Schuitmaker, who represents all of Kalamazoo but lives in VanBuren.

    More later...

    .

    < Absurdity | And just how informed are the people teaching your children? >


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    Display: Sort:
    Thanks for the report C1 (none / 0) (#1)
    by JGillman on Tue Mar 22, 2011 at 03:52:30 PM EST
    Interesting stuff there.

    What will be more interesting is the cage match for those senate seats in SE Michigan.  Perhaps for the congressional seat slated to disappear.

    I hope Gerry is ready for a bit of proper mandering.

    I heard this info on the radio this AM (none / 0) (#2)
    by RushLake on Tue Mar 22, 2011 at 05:34:18 PM EST
    probably WAAM, but it might have been WCHB. It was reported that a lot of africanhyphenamericans moved to Macomb County so its conceivable that either in this redistricting cycle or the one in ten years we could see a minority specific district in Macomb. I doubt that Detroit's loss will negatively impact John CONyers' or Hansen Clarke's standing. I don't believe that Ricky Nerd and the State Republican Majority have the stomach to upset that apple cart. That's much harder than raising individual's taxes.

    Outstate, yes.... (none / 0) (#3)
    by KG One on Tue Mar 22, 2011 at 06:16:48 PM EST
    ...for those of us in this neck of the woods, no.

    It's no surprise that Detroiters are moving out to the 'burbs (those who haven't left Michigan altogether). And this is causing big problems where they are moving.

    Personally, I'm surprised that they had the number the US Census claimed that they had. If I had to ballpark it, it put it at MOST 700k.

    The whole redistricting thing is shaping up to be a done deal.

    You can argue the VRA all you want.

    Either Clarke or Conyers will be gone in '12, there's no way around it.

    • Your link by JGillman, 03/22/2011 06:39:04 PM EST (none / 0)
    • Please... by Crippy, 03/23/2011 07:47:54 AM EST (none / 0)
    Oops (none / 0) (#4)
    by Conservative First on Tue Mar 22, 2011 at 06:19:06 PM EST
    The congressional district population should be 705,974 since there will be only 14 districts.

    If Detroit is down to 713k.... (none / 0) (#7)
    by DrDetroit on Wed Mar 23, 2011 at 09:51:17 AM EST
    How many people voted 5 months ago?

    Two black-majority districts (none / 0) (#8)
    by Conservative First on Wed Mar 23, 2011 at 12:43:41 PM EST
    KG One:

    I have been playing with new congressional maps.  It appears that two black-majority districts is right on the edge of possible.  I won't know for sure until I can get precinct-by-precinct racial breakdowns.

    Shock? HELLO (none / 0) (#10)
    by LookingforReagan on Sat Mar 26, 2011 at 04:01:56 PM EST
    Why would anyone be shocked. Given the choice between living in the largest Commie Lib Anal pore on the planet outside of the mideast and 9021anywhere what the hell would you do. Those who can afford to leave have or are trying to. Soon the entire city will be one huge brown field site. Then the EnviroNazis can show us how their plan to clean up the planet will work in microcosim. So stay tuned for more Liberal stupidity and FAILURE on a grand scale. Their social engineering experiments have sure been a huge bust for the D.

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