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By JGillman, Section News
Posted on Wed Jun 02, 2010 at 10:12:42 AM EST
Tags: Primary, Mike Cox, Mike Bouchard, Tom George, Rick Snyder, Pete Hoekstra, Polling, Michigan, Governor (all tags)

Things are starting to happen in the primary cycle. There are some of you who have felt that the advertising done by the Cox campaign regarding the TARP was too tough, or perhaps distasteful. The results are in, and the ads, as well as a the plan advertised by Cox for Michigan's future seem to have moved public opinion in his favor.

The Mike Cox 2010 campaign today released the results of a new poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies showing Mike Cox leading the race for governor.

According to Public Opinion Strategies pollster Neil Newhouse:

"After only two weeks of out-state advertising, Cox has essentially erased Pete Hoekstra's once commanding 13-point lead and reshaped this race,"
"Republican primary voters across the country have spoken loud and clear in recent months, overwhelmingly rejecting Members of Congress who supported the Wall Street bailout and pork barrel spending. The same is clearly happening today in Michigan."

The poll of 400 likely GOP primary voters finds Mike Cox in first place with 21 percent of the vote, Pete Hoekstra tied in first at 21 percent, Rick Snyder at 18 percent, Mike Bouchard at 10 percent and Tom George at 2 percent. The poll was conducted May 25-27 with a margin of error of +/-4.9%.

Of course in a Primary, it is still pretty tough to call such a close race for Cox, but he has seemed to show momentum at this stage. Momentum that appears to reflect some successful decision making with regard to the ads.

In the Grand Rapids media market, Hoekstra's once commanding 55 point lead over Cox has shrunk to 11 points, from 64-9 in a February poll to 33-22 now. Newhouse continues:

"Through Mike Cox's two-week ad campaign, voters have learned about his efforts to cut government spending, as well as about Hoekstra's big-spending record in Congress,"
"This information has essentially recast this race."

Nick De Leeuw, Mike Cox 2010 Spokesman said:

"Mike Cox is clearly best positioned for victory heading into the final nine weeks of the campaign,"
"Mike Cox's background as a marine, a murder prosecutor and the state's Attorney General proves to voters he is tough enough to lead Michigan- and voters are responding."

Indeed the poll is showing the strength of the Cox political muscle, and his ability to get the message out.

The other results of the poll with Bouchard at a low 10 points reveals his statewide strength to be minimal. However, it is suggested his strength may well be the SE corner which can pull heavy swings in the end..

Snyder, having spent his kids allowance many times over is actually polling quite high. Strangely high, as he is a veteran of the type of incestuous Government-Business relationship. BUT... Snyder's high polling may mean very little in the primary, as the type of Republican voter who would select Snyder is going to be one who is not paying attention, and will not likely show up at the polls anyhow.

And if you need an example of that voter.. I will remind you here:

Credits

Neil Newhouse is a partner and co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, a national political and public affairs research firm which has been described by the New York Times as "the leading Republican polling company" in the country. Neil was recently named "Pollster of the Year" by the American Association of Political Consultants.

Nick De Leeuw, is the founder of RightMichigan.com, is considered a veteran of Michigan politics with previous gubernatorial race experienc, and is now a spokesman for the Mike Cox 2010 campaign.

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