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    Who are the NERD fund donors Mr Snyder?

    Raise the curtain.

    The "Investment" Argument


    By Republican Yankee, Section News
    Posted on Tue Apr 03, 2007 at 02:13:32 PM EST
    Tags: (all tags)

    Granholm Arguments on "Investing" in Citizens Don't Add Up.

    In her most recent State of the State Address, Governor Granholm cited Wisconsin and Minnesota as examples for Michigan to follow.  Granholm mentioned that these two states have many similarities to Michigan but are doing much better economically.  Granholm concluded that these were the direct results of Wisconsin and Minnesota choosing to "invest" in their citizens.

    Indeed, Granholm has kept up on the investment warpath.  In all of her town hall meetings, the governor uttered the word more than 20 times (yes, I actually counted).  But critics, specifically Jack McHugh of the Mackinac Center for Public Policy, has pointed out that "invest" is simply a key word for taxing and spending, an economic strategy that would ultimately destroy Michigan's economic fabric, which now hangs by only a single string.

    The whole debate peaked my curiosity, so I decided to take a look at some statistics and crunch some numbers.  The results demonstrate that contrary to the governor's arguments that Michigan will never be the cheapest place in the world to do business, taxes matter, and those who "invest" in their citizens do not always come up winners.

    This gets a bit wonkish, so bear with me.  The first thing that I looked at was tax burden rankings (from the Tax Foundation) as they relate to job growth (from the Bureau of Labor Statistics).  In order to "invest" you need revenue, and in order to get revenue (under Granholm's plan), you need to tax.  Granholm understands this and as a result proposed the two-penny tax on services that business groups almost unanimously agreed would have a negative impact on their ability to compete.  The business groups were right.

    The top 10 job-growth states* have an average tax burden ranking of 26th.  Another note on this group, the top six states are the only states with double-digit job growth rates and are all right-to-work states.

    The bottom 10 job-growth (2*) states have and average tax burden ranking of 13th.  Another note on this group, 9 out of 10 of these states are not right-to-work states.  By the way, the examples the governor used in Wisconsin and Minnesota ranked 36th and 29th respectively in job-growth.  Not sure that those states serve as the best examples for job growth.

    Clearly, these numbers show that states with lower taxes are performing better in creating jobs than those states with higher taxes.  This is even easier to see when you look at it this way:

    The 10 states(3*) with the highest tax burdens have an average job-growth rate of 3.23%.

    The 10 states(4*) with the lowest tax burdens have an average job-growth rate of 6.73%.

    The result: Taxes matter!  And raising them will only hurt Michigan, not help it.

    But before we leave it at that, let's talk about "investment" for each state in terms of expenditures per capita.  This is older data that was collected by Kaiser Health Statistics in 2004.  I was unable to find more recent data, so I used 2004 economic numbers as well.  Again, the results do not favor Granholm's philosophy.

    In 2004, the top ten states in expenditures per capita (5*) had an average unemployment rate of 5.03%.

    In 2004, the bottom ten states in expenditures per capita(6*) had an average unemployment rate of 4.94%.

    What this data shows is the insignificant impacts that "investing" in our citizens would have on the general economy.  So if the job loss headlines weren't enough, here's some more ammunition for us all that shows Granholm is bad for Michigan.

    *from best to worse: Nevada, Arizona, Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, Florida, Hawaii, Montana, New Mexico, Washington.

    2*from better to worst: Rhode Island, New Jersey, Illinois, Connecticut, Indiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Louisiana, Ohio, Michigan.

    3*from highest to lower: Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Minnesota, Massachusetts, Maine, Rhode Island, California, Illinois

    4*from higher to lowest: West Virginia, Idaho, Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Alaska, Alabama

    5*from highest to lower: Alaska, West Virginia, Hawaii, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island, Vermont, New York, New Mexico.

    6*from higher to lowest: New Hampshire, Idaho, Utah, Georgia, Missouri, Maryland, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Texas.

    < Granholm to replace MEDC CEO Epolito with campaign manager?! | GOP in Michigan begins to counter national trend, reclaiming brand ID >


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    This is like the Patrick Anderson study (none / 0) (#1)
    by NoviDemocrat on Tue Apr 03, 2007 at 04:21:45 PM EST
    that said we should emulate North Carolina and Virginia as models for business taxes. Then it was discovered that since 1999, median household incomes in those states have fallen:

    http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2006_09/009459.php

    while some of the states on the "worst" list here, Massachusetts and New Jersey, for example, have seen median household incomes increase significantly.For most working people, living where wages are going up not down, is preferable to having the "best" business tax model.

    funny, I always thought (none / 0) (#2)
    by Nick on Tue Apr 03, 2007 at 04:22:48 PM EST
    Living where you can find a job represents the best business model.

    You're forgetting the one outlier... (none / 0) (#4)
    by Nick on Tue Apr 03, 2007 at 04:45:38 PM EST
    Michigan.  And with studies indicating another 19,000 will head for the border if the governor's tax scheme gets approved... well... that doesn't help either.

    All that said, imagine the current climate exacerbated by $3 billion in tax hikes AND the added costs of compliance imposed on businesses.

    Doesn't get much prettier.

    It's Interesting (none / 0) (#5)
    by Republican Yankee on Tue Apr 03, 2007 at 05:08:28 PM EST
    NoviDem, as always you seem to be ignoring your own ignorance.  People in Michigan aren't moving to Massachusetts and New Jersey saying: "Wow, it would be great to live there, the median household income is higher."  You might want to look at the cost of living in New Jersey and Massachusetts compared to the cost of living in Utah or Idaho where jobs are actually being created.  I think you'll see there is a reason why income in higher in those states.  And why is the cost of living higher, you guessed it, taxes.

    The bottom line is simply this Utah and Arizona are two states whose tax burdens are in the bottom half of the national rankings and they have seen their non-farm payroll employment increase by 13.2% and 16% respectively.  In Massachusetts and New Jersey, these states ranks in the top half of the tax burden rankings and have seen their non-farm payroll employment increase by 1.2% and 2.5% respectively.

    I think I was pretty clear in my column, but if I wasn't I will be here.  Low taxes are not exactly the economic magic bullet, but higher taxes are disasterous for job creation.

    I just find it interesting that someone who is putting so much importance on median incomes is the same person so stridently advocating for higher taxes.  What's the point of a higher income if the government is going to take it away from you so that it can be splurged on whatever useless project comes to their minds?

    I paraphrase former United States Senate candidate Keith Butler: Republicans understand that we earn our pay to take it home and support our families, not to give it back to the government for redistribution.

    Not so fast (none / 0) (#6)
    by Mark Adams on Tue Apr 03, 2007 at 07:59:33 PM EST
    First there are 30 states at or below the national average of unemployment rate. But the two lowest taxed states in the nation (N. Dakota/ S. Dakota) are ranked 7th lowest with an unemployment rate of 3.2 %
    Michigan at 7.1% (2 highest/nation) is seventh highest taxation state in the nation.
    Utah 2.6 % UER but is ranked 35th in the nation for total taxed.
    I think Nicks got a good point, numbers don't lie.


    • Good analysis by Jeremy Nielson, 04/05/2007 01:45:47 PM EST (none / 0)
    Job Growth is Job Growth (none / 0) (#8)
    by Republican Yankee on Wed Apr 04, 2007 at 09:38:42 AM EST
    The population argument is bogus Novi.  Job creation is job creation.  If Utah and Idaho mostly consist of vast emptiness, then there needs to be something that is attracting the companies that are creating those 40,000 some jobs.  And by something I don't mean "investment".

    You're right (none / 0) (#9)
    by NoviDemocrat on Wed Apr 04, 2007 at 10:30:19 AM EST
    Job growth is job growth and despite your claim that taxes are hindering job growth, Massachusetts and New Jersey are creating just as many jobs as those states.

    with populations (none / 0) (#10)
    by Nick on Wed Apr 04, 2007 at 10:42:18 AM EST
    and concentrations of industry almost exponentially higher.

    Wow.

    Talk about spin.

    Why? (none / 0) (#12)
    by NoviDemocrat on Wed Apr 04, 2007 at 01:24:12 PM EST
    Which is a better job market for potential applicants? One that supports 5 million employees or one that support 1 million employees?

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